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577 Why China won’t Invade Taiwan

577 Why China won’t Invade Taiwan

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In this episode, Aaron Watson speaks with Dale Copeland about the likelihood of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.


Dale Copeland, a professor at the University of Virginia, specializes in trade, war, and economic interdependence. Known for his theory of trade expectations, he explores how future trade expectations shape war and peace, challenging conventional views in works like Economic Interdependence and War.


Copeland argues the risk is lower than some believe, citing military, economic, and geopolitical constraints on Xi Jinping. We explore how trade dependencies shape global security and why China’s economic vulnerabilities serve as a key deterrent.



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