Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with George Bory & Dean Curnutt.

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- Krishna Memani, CIO at Lafayette College
- Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities
- Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab
- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro

Krishna Memani, CIO at Lafayette College and Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, join to discuss the US economic outlook after the Moody's US credit downgrade and rise in long-term Treasury yields. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, talks about the latest on tax bill negotiations and President Trump's economic agenda. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, discusses US economic indicators and whether the US economy is weakening, as well as the outlook for rate cuts in 2025.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 19th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Meredith Whitney, CEO at Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, joins for an extended discussion the economic outlook for the US and health of US banks and companies, as well as her call for 6% unemployment in 2025. US bonds, stocks, and the dollar retreated in the premarket Monday after Moody's Ratings stripped the government of its top credit rating, reinforcing concerns about the status of American assets.
2) George Bory, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Allspring Global Investments, joins to discuss the rise in Treasuries amid the US credit downgrade from Moody's. The downgrade risks reinforcing Wall Street's growing worries over the US sovereign bond market as a ballooning budget deficit shows little sign of narrowing.
3) Dean Curnutt, CEO at Macro Risk Advisors, talks about signals from the VIX and bond market about US economic concerns and whether the US is staring down a bond crisis. The early Monday selloff in long-end US bonds is picking up on those deficit concerns following Friday’s downgrade by Moody’s.
4) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, previews President Trump's call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, and talks about the geo-economic implications of President Trump's term, as well as the latest on the US tax bill. Putin is unlikely to offer meaningful concessions to Trump, and is instead trying to maneuver to continue negotiations alongside a military offensive, while Ukraine and European leaders push for a full and immediate ceasefire.
5) Jamie Patton, co-head of Global Rates at TCW, brings us into the market open and talks about the bar for rate cuts in 2025 as Treasuries pop. Yields climbed last week as well as traders reduced expectations of multiple Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts by year-end.

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