What lies ahead in 2024?

The takeaway quote “in 40 years, as a serving member of the Armed Forces, I have never felt that the world is so close to World War 3”

This Podcast is hosted by Lt. Col Stuart Crawford with Guest, Philip Ingram, MBE, BSc, MA who review the global problems ahead for 2024. Based on what they’ve seen in 2023.

What is the role of Iran in conflicts already seen with: -

Hamas, Syria, Houthi Rebels, provision of weapon to Russia & the new shipping crisis.

What is Iran’s objective?

Wishes to become the one global caliphate.

Is in close contact with Russia, China, & North Korea

Wants a nuclear capability to become the global Islamic leader

No change in ambitions unless there is Western confrontation or regime change

Russia

Wants increase in oil prices and will support any regime causing problems to West

Able to provide Iran and China with cheap fuel

Iran can restrict oil supplies with the Houthis

All of these countries are used to planning in generational terms – unlike the West

What to watch in the US?

Election Year possibly bringing Trump

Trump is no fan of NATO

May see war as a way of MAGA – bringing munitions production to Republican heartlands

Help to grow American economy

UK

British Army in a parlous state

In the past, Light Infantry could be scrambled in 12 hours

Now unlikely to scramble within 2 weeks

The West is clearly battling a combined Alliance who plan in centuries rather than electoral cycles.